A criterion for estimating the largest linear homoscedastic zone in Gaussian data

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Abstract

A criterion is constructed to identify the largest homoscedastic region in a Gaussian dataset. This can be reduced to a one-sided non-parametric break detection, knowing that up to a certain index the output is governed by a linear homoscedastic model, while after this index it is different (e.g. a different model, different variables, different volatility, ….). We show the convergence of the estimator of this index, with asymptotic concentration inequalities that can be exponential. A criterion and convergence results are derived when the linear homoscedastic zone is bounded by two breaks on both sides. Additionally, a criterion for choosing between zero, one, or two breaks is proposed. Monte Carlo experiments will also confirm its very good numerical performance.

Original languageEnglish
Article number106223
JournalJournal of Statistical Planning and Inference
Volume235
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Mar 2025
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Change detection
  • Gaussian linear model
  • Hydrography
  • Model selection

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