A stochastic surrogate model approach applied to calibration of unstable fluid flow experiments

We propose a stochastic approach for calibration of mixing zone lengths in shock tube experiments. The methodology relies on taking into account uncertain initial data propagated through the basic multifluid Euler equations. In this work, the initial interface position is supposed uncertain, modeled by a stochastic process. The size of the mixing zone is then defined as the support of the probability density function of the stochastic process. This time dependent probability density function is estimated with non-intrusive generalized Polynomial Chaos, its support being in this case cheaply evaluated. This methodology relies on the application of an ergodic principle (Wiener, 1938) and generalizes linear perturbations analysis. It is applied in this Note to the calibration of several experimental results.