Arbitrage opportunities in misspecified stochastic volatility models

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Abstract

There is vast empirical evidence that given a set of assumptions on the real-world dynamics of an asset, the European options on this asset are not efficiently priced in options markets, giving rise to arbitrage opportunities. We study these opportunities in a generic stochastic volatility model and exhibit the strategies which maximize the arbitrage profit. In the case when the misspecified dynamics are classical Black-Scholes ones, we give a new interpretation of the butterfly and risk reversal contracts in terms of their performance for volatility arbitrage. Our results are illustrated by a numerical example including transaction costs.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)317-341
Number of pages25
JournalSIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics
Volume2
Issue number1
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jan 2011

Keywords

  • Butterfly
  • Model misspecification
  • Risk reversal
  • SABR model
  • Stochastic volatility
  • Volatility arbitrage

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