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Benchmarking CMIP5 models with a subset of ESA CCI Phase 2 data using the ESMValTool

  • Axel Lauer
  • , Veronika Eyring
  • , Mattia Righi
  • , Michael Buchwitz
  • , Pierre Defourny
  • , Martin Evaldsson
  • , Pierre Friedlingstein
  • , Richard de Jeu
  • , Gerrit de Leeuw
  • , Alexander Loew
  • , Christopher J. Merchant
  • , Benjamin Müller
  • , Thomas Popp
  • , Maximilian Reuter
  • , Stein Sandven
  • , Daniel Senftleben
  • , Martin Stengel
  • , Michel Van Roozendael
  • , Sabrina Wenzel
  • , Ulrika Willén
  • DLR
  • University of Bremen
  • University of Louvain
  • Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute
  • University of Exeter
  • Space Technology Center
  • Finnish Meteorological Institute
  • University of Helsinki
  • Universität München
  • University of Reading
  • Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center
  • Deutscher Wetterdienst
  • Belgian Institute for Space Aeronomy

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) is now moving into its sixth phase and aims at a more routine evaluation of the models as soon as the model output is published to the Earth System Grid Federation (ESGF). To meet this goal the Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool), a community diagnostics and performance metrics tool for the systematic evaluation of Earth system models (ESMs) in CMIP, has been developed and a first version (1.0) released as open source software in 2015. Here, an enhanced version of the ESMValTool is presented that exploits a subset of Essential Climate Variables (ECVs) from the European Space Agency's Climate Change Initiative (ESA CCI) Phase 2 and this version is used to demonstrate the value of the data for model evaluation. This subset includes consistent, long-term time series of ECVs obtained from harmonized, reprocessed products from different satellite instruments for sea surface temperature, sea ice, cloud, soil moisture, land cover, aerosol, ozone, and greenhouse gases. The ESA CCI data allow extending the calculation of performance metrics as summary statistics for some variables and add an important alternative data set in other cases where observations are already available. The provision of uncertainty estimates on a per grid basis for the ESA CCI data sets is used in a new extended version of the Taylor diagram and provides important additional information for a more objective evaluation of the models. In our analysis we place a specific focus on the comparability of model and satellite data both in time and space. The ESA CCI data are well suited for an evaluation of results from global climate models across ESM compartments as well as an analysis of long-term trends, variability and change in the context of a changing climate. The enhanced version of the ESMValTool is released as open source software and ready to support routine model evaluation in CMIP6 and at individual modeling centers.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)9-39
Number of pages31
JournalRemote Sensing of Environment
Volume203
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 15 Dec 2017
Externally publishedYes

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 13 - Climate Action
    SDG 13 Climate Action
  2. SDG 15 - Life on Land
    SDG 15 Life on Land

Keywords

  • Aerosols
  • CMIP
  • CO2
  • Climate
  • Clouds
  • ESA CCI
  • ESMValTool
  • Earth system models
  • Greenhouse gases
  • Land cover
  • Model evaluation
  • Ozone
  • Sea ice
  • Sea surface temperature
  • Soil moisture

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