Bubble-free policy feedback rules

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

We consider a broad class of linear dynamic stochastic rational-expectations models made of a finite number N of structural equations for N + 1 endogenous variables and to be closed by one policy feedback rule. We design, for any model of this class and any stationary VARMA solution of that model, a "bubble-free" policy feedback rule ensuring that this solution is not only the unique stationary solution of the closed model, but also its unique solution. We apply these results to locally linearisable models of the monetary transmission mechanism and obtain interest-rate rules that not only ensure the local determinacy of the targeted equilibrium in the neighbourhood of the steady state considered, but also prevent the economy from gradually leaving this neighbourhood.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1521-1559
Number of pages39
JournalJournal of Economic Theory
Volume144
Issue number4
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jul 2009
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Global determinacy
  • Interest-rate rules
  • Linear dynamic rational-expectations models
  • Local determinacy
  • Policy feedback rules
  • Rational bubbles
  • Saddle-path property

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