Debt hangover in the aftermath of the Great Recession

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Following the Great Recession, U.S. government debt levels exceeded 100% of output. We develop a macroeconomic model to evaluate the role of various shocks during and after the Great Recession; labor market shocks have the greatest impact on macroeconomic activity. We then evaluate the consequences of using alternative fiscal policy instruments to implement a fiscal austerity program to return the debt-output ratio to its pre-Great Recession level. Our welfare analysis reveals that there is not much difference between applying fiscal austerity through government spending, the labor income tax, or the consumption tax; using the capital income tax is welfare-reducing.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)107-133
Number of pages27
JournalJournal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Volume105
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Aug 2019
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Fiscal policies
  • Government debt
  • Government deficits
  • Labor market
  • Tax reforms

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