Decadal climate prediction an update from the trenches

Gerald A. Meehl; Lisa Goddard; George Boer; Robert Burgman; Grant Branstator; Christophe Cassou; Susanna Corti; Gokhan Danabasoglu; Francisco Doblas-Reyes; Ed Hawkins; Alicia Karspeck; Masahide Kimoto; Arun Kumar; Daniela Matei; Juliette Mignot; Rym Msadek; Antonio Navarra; Holger Pohlmann; Michele Rienecker; Tony Rosati; Edwin Schneider; Doug Smith; Rowan Sutton; Haiyan Teng; Geert Jan Van Oldenborgh; Gabriel Vecchi; Stephen Yeager

doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00241.1

Decadal climate prediction an update from the trenches

Gerald A. Meehl
, Lisa Goddard
, George Boer
, Robert Burgman
, Grant Branstator
, Christophe Cassou
, Susanna Corti
, Gokhan Danabasoglu
, Francisco Doblas-Reyes
, Ed Hawkins
, Alicia Karspeck
, Masahide Kimoto
, Arun Kumar
, Daniela Matei
, Juliette Mignot
, Rym Msadek
, Antonio Navarra
, Holger Pohlmann
, Michele Rienecker
, Tony Rosati

Edwin Schneider, Doug Smith, Rowan Sutton, Haiyan Teng, Geert Jan Van Oldenborgh, Gabriel Vecchi, Stephen Yeager

National Center for Atmospheric Research
International Research Institute for Climate and Society
Meteorological Research Branch
Florida International University
CERFACS
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts
Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, CNR, ISAC
Catalan Institute of Climate Sciences
National Centre for Atmospheric Science
University of Tokyo
NOAA
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology
Service d'Aéronomie
University of Bern
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Centro Euromediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV)
NASA Goddard Space Flight Center
George Mason University
Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosp. Studs.
Now at Met Office Hadley Centre
Royal Netherlands Meteorological I.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

466 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

The rapidly evolving field of decadal climate prediction, using initialized climate models to produce time-evolving predictions of regional climate, is producing new results for predictions, predictability, and prediction skill.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	243-267
Number of pages	25
Journal	Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Volume	95
Issue number	2
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00241.1
Publication status	Published - 1 Jan 2014
Externally published	Yes

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

SDG 13 Climate Action

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10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00241.1

Cite this

Meehl, G. A., Goddard, L., Boer, G., Burgman, R., Branstator, G., Cassou, C., Corti, S., Danabasoglu, G., Doblas-Reyes, F., Hawkins, E., Karspeck, A., Kimoto, M., Kumar, A., Matei, D., Mignot, J., Msadek, R., Navarra, A., Pohlmann, H., Rienecker, M., ... Yeager, S. (2014). Decadal climate prediction an update from the trenches. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 95(2), 243-267. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00241.1

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abstract = "The rapidly evolving field of decadal climate prediction, using initialized climate models to produce time-evolving predictions of regional climate, is producing new results for predictions, predictability, and prediction skill.",

author = "Meehl, \{Gerald A.\} and Lisa Goddard and George Boer and Robert Burgman and Grant Branstator and Christophe Cassou and Susanna Corti and Gokhan Danabasoglu and Francisco Doblas-Reyes and Ed Hawkins and Alicia Karspeck and Masahide Kimoto and Arun Kumar and Daniela Matei and Juliette Mignot and Rym Msadek and Antonio Navarra and Holger Pohlmann and Michele Rienecker and Tony Rosati and Edwin Schneider and Doug Smith and Rowan Sutton and Haiyan Teng and \{Van Oldenborgh\}, \{Geert Jan\} and Gabriel Vecchi and Stephen Yeager",

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doi = "10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00241.1",

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Meehl, GA, Goddard, L, Boer, G, Burgman, R, Branstator, G, Cassou, C, Corti, S, Danabasoglu, G, Doblas-Reyes, F, Hawkins, E, Karspeck, A, Kimoto, M, Kumar, A, Matei, D, Mignot, J, Msadek, R, Navarra, A, Pohlmann, H, Rienecker, M, Rosati, T, Schneider, E, Smith, D, Sutton, R, Teng, H, Van Oldenborgh, GJ, Vecchi, G & Yeager, S 2014, 'Decadal climate prediction an update from the trenches', Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, vol. 95, no. 2, pp. 243-267. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00241.1

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T1 - Decadal climate prediction an update from the trenches

AU - Meehl, Gerald A.

AU - Goddard, Lisa

AU - Boer, George

AU - Burgman, Robert

AU - Branstator, Grant

AU - Cassou, Christophe

AU - Corti, Susanna

AU - Danabasoglu, Gokhan

AU - Doblas-Reyes, Francisco

AU - Hawkins, Ed

AU - Karspeck, Alicia

AU - Kimoto, Masahide

AU - Kumar, Arun

AU - Matei, Daniela

AU - Mignot, Juliette

AU - Msadek, Rym

AU - Navarra, Antonio

AU - Pohlmann, Holger

AU - Rienecker, Michele

AU - Rosati, Tony

AU - Schneider, Edwin

AU - Smith, Doug

AU - Sutton, Rowan

AU - Teng, Haiyan

AU - Van Oldenborgh, Geert Jan

AU - Vecchi, Gabriel

AU - Yeager, Stephen

PY - 2014/1/1

Y1 - 2014/1/1

N2 - The rapidly evolving field of decadal climate prediction, using initialized climate models to produce time-evolving predictions of regional climate, is producing new results for predictions, predictability, and prediction skill.

AB - The rapidly evolving field of decadal climate prediction, using initialized climate models to produce time-evolving predictions of regional climate, is producing new results for predictions, predictability, and prediction skill.

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DO - 10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00241.1

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AN - SCOPUS:84893858451

SN - 0003-0007

VL - 95

SP - 243

EP - 267

JO - Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

JF - Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

IS - 2

ER -

Decadal climate prediction an update from the trenches

Abstract

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