Ergodicity of Autoregressive Processes with Markov-switching and Consistency of the Maximum-likelihood Estimator

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Abstract

An autoregressive model with Markov-switching assumes a sequence of random vectors to be a non linear autoregressive model given a sequence of non observed state variables which forms a Markov chain. A particular case of this model is the hidden Markov model. In this paper conditions for the existence of an ergodic stationary solution are given and consistency of the maximum likelihood estimator is proved.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)151-173
Number of pages23
JournalStatistics
Volume32
Issue number2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jan 1998
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Consistency
  • Hidden Markov chain
  • Maximum likelihood
  • Non linear time series models
  • Switching models

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