Abstract
We study the optimal trading policies for a wind energy producer who aims to sell the future production in the open forward, spot, intraday, and adjustment markets, and who has access to imperfect dynamically updated forecasts of the future production. We construct a stochastic model for the forecast evolution and determine the optimal trading policies which are updated dynamically as new forecast information becomes available. Our results allow us to quantify the expected future gain of the wind producer and to determine the economic value of the forecasts.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 315-346 |
| Number of pages | 32 |
| Journal | SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics |
| Volume | 9 |
| Issue number | 1 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 1 Jan 2018 |
Keywords
- Forecasts
- Optimal trading
- Stochastic control
- Wind energy
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