Abstract
We consider a quadratic stochastic intensity model with a Gaussian autoregressive factor, derive explicit formulas for predictive mortality tables and recursive updating formulas are also provided. We also explain how to use appropriately the Kalman filter to estimate the parameters of the model and to approximate the values of the underlying factor. This methodology is applied to French human mortality tables.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 174-184 |
| Number of pages | 11 |
| Journal | Insurance: Mathematics and Economics |
| Volume | 43 |
| Issue number | 1 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 1 Aug 2008 |
| Externally published | Yes |
Keywords
- Affine model
- Kalman filter
- Life insurance
- Longevity risk
- Mortality linked securities (MLS)
- Mortality table
- Quadratic model