Regime switching and bond pricing

Christian Gourieroux, Alain Monfort, Fulvio Pegoraro, Jean Paul Renne

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

This article proposes an overview of the usefulness of the regime switching approach for building various kinds of bond pricing models and of the roles played by the regimes in these models. Both defaultfree and defaultable bonds are considered. The regimes can be used to capture stochastic drifts and/or volatilities, to represent discrete target rates, to incorporate business cycles or crises, to introduce contagion, to reproduce zero lower bound spells, or to evaluate the impact of standard or nonstandard monetary policies. From a technical point of view, we stress the key role of Markov chains, Compound Autoregressive (Car) processes, Regime Switching Car processes and multihorizon Laplace transforms.

Original languageEnglish
Article numbernbt019
Pages (from-to)237-277
Number of pages41
JournalJournal of Financial Econometrics
Volume12
Issue number2
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jan 2014
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Affine models
  • Car process
  • Contagion
  • Default risk
  • Monetary policy
  • Multi-horizon laplace transform
  • Regime switching
  • Term structure

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