Renewal in Hawkes processes with self-excitation and inhibition

  • Manon Costa
  • , Carl Graham
  • , Laurence Marsalle
  • , Viet Chi Tran

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

We investigate the Hawkes processes on the positive real line exhibiting both self-excitation and inhibition. Each point of such a point process impacts its future intensity by the addition of a signed reproduction function. The case of a nonnegative reproduction function corresponds to self-excitation, and has been widely investigated in the literature. In particular, there exists a cluster representation of the Hawkes process which allows one to apply known results for Galton-Watson trees. We use renewal techniques to establish limit theorems for Hawkes processes that have reproduction functions which are signed and have bounded support. Notably, we prove exponential concentration inequalities, extending results of Reynaud-Bouret and Roy (2006) previously proven for nonnegative reproduction functions using a cluster representation no longer valid in our case. Importantly, we establish the existence of exponential moments for renewal times of M/G/ queues which appear naturally in our problem. These results possess interest independent of the original problem.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)879-915
Number of pages37
JournalAdvances in Applied Probability
Volume52
Issue number3
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Sept 2020

Keywords

  • Galton-Watson trees
  • M/G/∞ queues
  • Point processes
  • concentration inequalities
  • ergodic limit theorems
  • inhibition
  • self-excitation

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