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Speed of coming down from infinity for birth-And-death processes

  • Ecole polytechnique

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

We describe in detail the speed of 'coming down from infinity' for birth-And-death processes which eventually become extinct. Under general assumptions on the birth-And-death rates, we firstly determine the behavior of the successive hitting times of large integers. We identify two different regimes depending on whether the mean time for the process to go from n+1 to n is negligible or not compared to the mean time to reach n from . In the first regime, the coming down from infinity is very fast and the convergence is weak. In the second regime, the coming down from infinity is gradual and a law of large numbers and a central limit theorem for the hitting times sequence hold. By an inversion procedure, we deduce that the process is almost surely equivalent to a nonincreasing function when the time goes to 0. Our results are illustrated by several examples including applications to population dynamics and population genetics. The particular case where the death rate varies regularly is studied in detail.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1183-1210
Number of pages28
JournalAdvances in Applied Probability
Volume48
Issue number4
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Dec 2016

Keywords

  • Birth-And-death processes
  • central limit theorem
  • coming down from infinity
  • hitting times

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