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State-Dependence of the Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity in a Clear-Sky GCM

  • Matthew Henry
  • , Geoffrey K. Vallis
  • , Nicholas J. Lutsko
  • , Jacob T. Seeley
  • , Brett A. McKim
  • Department of Mathematics
  • University of Exeter
  • Scripps Institution of Oceanography
  • Dept. of Earth & Planet. Sci
  • Harvard University

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

4 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

The climate sensitivity peaks around 310 K in a wide variety of climate models, ranging from idealized single column models to fully comprehensive climate models. Here, we increase CO2 using a clear-sky three-dimensional atmospheric model with a radiation scheme which maintains accuracy for high CO2 and temperature levels. In contrast, the Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS) of our model plateaus around 310 K. We show that this is due to the moistening of the subtropical regions caused by a slowdown in atmospheric circulation, which increases the ECS at very high CO2 values. When relative humidity is fixed, the ECS peak is consistent with single column model results. This work does not rule out that clouds or other complex processes impact the ECS in comprehensive climate models. Though the changes in CO2 here are extreme, this study underlines the importance of changes in atmospheric circulation and relative humidity in quantitative assessments of climate sensitivity.

Original languageEnglish
Article numbere2023GL104413
JournalGeophysical Research Letters
Volume50
Issue number23
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 16 Dec 2023

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 13 - Climate Action
    SDG 13 Climate Action

Keywords

  • climate sensitivity

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