TY - JOUR
T1 - Towards a turnkey approach for unbiased Monte Carlo estimation of smooth functions of expectations
AU - Chopin, Nicolas
AU - Crucinio, Francesca R.
AU - Singh, Sumeetpal S.
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2025 The Author(s). Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Biometrika Trust. All rights reserved. For commercial re-use, please contact [email protected] for reprints and translation rights for reprints. All other permissions can be obtained through our RightsLink service via the Permissions link on the article page on our site - for further information please contact [email protected].
PY - 2025/1/1
Y1 - 2025/1/1
N2 - Given a smooth function, we develop a general approach to turn Monte Carlo samples with expectation into an unbiased estimate of. Specifically, we develop estimators that are based on randomly truncating the Taylor series expansion of and estimating the coefficients of the truncated series. We derive their properties and propose a strategy to set their tuning parameters (which depend on) automatically, with a view to making the whole approach simple to use. We develop our methods for the specific functions and, as they arise in several statistical applications such as maximum likelihood estimation of latent variable models and Bayesian inference for unnormalized models. Detailed numerical studies are performed for a range of applications to determine how competitive and reliable the proposed approach is.
AB - Given a smooth function, we develop a general approach to turn Monte Carlo samples with expectation into an unbiased estimate of. Specifically, we develop estimators that are based on randomly truncating the Taylor series expansion of and estimating the coefficients of the truncated series. We derive their properties and propose a strategy to set their tuning parameters (which depend on) automatically, with a view to making the whole approach simple to use. We develop our methods for the specific functions and, as they arise in several statistical applications such as maximum likelihood estimation of latent variable models and Bayesian inference for unnormalized models. Detailed numerical studies are performed for a range of applications to determine how competitive and reliable the proposed approach is.
KW - Random truncation
KW - Sum estimator
KW - Unbiased Monte Carlo
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105016844767
U2 - 10.1093/biomet/asaf030
DO - 10.1093/biomet/asaf030
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:105016844767
SN - 0006-3444
VL - 112
JO - Biometrika
JF - Biometrika
IS - 3
M1 - asaf030
ER -