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Dynamic Log-Linear Probability Model with Interactions

  • Christian Gouriéroux
  • , Nour Meddahi
  • University of Toronto
  • Toulouse School of Economics

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Résumé

The log-linear probability model has been initially introduced by Nerlove and Press (1973) for the analysis of contingency tables constructed from business survey data. We extend this modelling approach to the dynamic analysis of multivariate qualitative processes with the application to technical analysis of financial returns in mind. We develop the dynamic qualitative models with pairwise and/or three-wise interactions, discuss the interpretations of the interaction parameters,study the filtering and prediction algorithms, and compare the approach to machine learning models as the restricted Boltzmann machine and the normalizing flows.

langue originaleAnglais
titreAdvanced Studies in Theoretical and Applied Econometrics
EditeurSpringer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
Pages453-473
Nombre de pages21
Les DOIs
étatPublié - 1 janv. 2025
Modification externeOui

Série de publications

NomAdvanced Studies in Theoretical and Applied Econometrics
Volume57
ISSN (imprimé)1570-5811
ISSN (Electronique)2214-7977

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