Predictability of biomass burning in response to climate changes

A. L. Daniau; P. J. Bartlein; S. P. Harrison; I. C. Prentice; S. Brewer; P. Friedlingstein; T. I. Harrison-Prentice; J. Inoue; K. Izumi; J. R. Marlon; S. Mooney; M. J. Power; J. Stevenson; W. Tinner; M. Andrič; J. Atanassova; H. Behling; M. Black; O. Blarquez; K. J. Brown; C. Carcaillet; E. A. Colhoun; D. Colombaroli; B. A.S. Davis; D. D'Costa; J. Dodson; L. Dupont; Z. Eshetu; D. G. Gavin; A. Genries; S. Haberle; D. J. Hallett; G. Hope; S. P. Horn; T. G. Kassa; F. Katamura; L. M. Kennedy; P. Kershaw; S. Krivonogov; C. Long; D. Magri; E. Marinova; G. M. McKenzie; P. I. Moreno; P. Moss; F. H. Neumann; E. Norstrm; C. Paitre; D. Rius; N. Roberts; G. S. Robinson; N. Sasaki; L. Scott; H. Takahara; V. Terwilliger; F. Thevenon; R. Turner; V. G. Valsecchi; B. Vannière; M. Walsh; N. Williams; Y. Zhang

doi:10.1029/2011GB004249

Predictability of biomass burning in response to climate changes

A. L. Daniau
, P. J. Bartlein
, S. P. Harrison
, I. C. Prentice
, S. Brewer
, P. Friedlingstein
, T. I. Harrison-Prentice
, J. Inoue
, K. Izumi
, J. R. Marlon
, S. Mooney
, M. J. Power
, J. Stevenson
, W. Tinner
, M. Andrič
, J. Atanassova
, H. Behling
, M. Black
, O. Blarquez
, K. J. Brown

C. Carcaillet, E. A. Colhoun, D. Colombaroli, B. A.S. Davis, D. D'Costa, J. Dodson, L. Dupont, Z. Eshetu, D. G. Gavin, A. Genries, S. Haberle, D. J. Hallett, G. Hope, S. P. Horn, T. G. Kassa, F. Katamura, L. M. Kennedy, P. Kershaw, S. Krivonogov, C. Long, D. Magri, E. Marinova, G. M. McKenzie, P. I. Moreno, P. Moss, F. H. Neumann, E. Norstrm, C. Paitre, D. Rius, N. Roberts, G. S. Robinson, N. Sasaki, L. Scott, H. Takahara, V. Terwilliger, F. Thevenon, R. Turner, V. G. Valsecchi, B. Vannière, M. Walsh, N. Williams, Y. Zhang

University of Bristol
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Macquarie University
Imperial College London
University of Wyoming
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University of Exeter
Newton St. Cyres
Osaka City University
University of Wisconsin-Madison
University of New South Wales
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Scientific Research Centre of the Slovenian Academy of Sciences and Arts
University of Sofia
Georg-August-Universität Göttingen
Université Montpellier 2
Canadian Forest Service
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School of Environmental and Life Sciences
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Monash University
Australian Nuclear Science and Technology Organisation
University of Bremen
Addis Ababa University
University of Calgary
University of Tennessee
Germany; University of Cologne
Tokushu Kosho Gijutsu Inc.
Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University
V.S. Sobolev Institute of Geology and Mineralogy of the Siberian Branch of the RAS
University of Wisconsin-Oshkosh
University of Rome
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Chrono-environnement-UMR 6249
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Research Institute for Humanity and Nature
University of the Free State
Kyoto Prefectural University
University of Kansas
Division Technique
LE STUDIUM Loire Valley Institute for Advanced Studies
University of Geneva
Central Washington University
Natural Resources Policy Section
Institute of Botany, Chinese Academy of Sciences

Résultats de recherche: Contribution à un journal › Article › Revue par des pairs

Résumé

Climate is an important control on biomass burning, but the sensitivity of fire to changes in temperature and moisture balance has not been quantified. We analyze sedimentary charcoal records to show that the changes in fire regime over the past 21,000 yrs are predictable from changes in regional climates. Analyses of paleo- fire data show that fire increases monotonically with changes in temperature and peaks at intermediate moisture levels, and that temperature is quantitatively the most important driver of changes in biomass burning over the past 21,000 yrs. Given that a similar relationship between climate drivers and fire emerges from analyses of the interannual variability in biomass burning shown by remote-sensing observations of month-by-month burnt area between 1996 and 2008, our results signal a serious cause for concern in the face of continuing global warming.

langue originale	Anglais
Numéro d'article	GB4007
journal	Global Biogeochemical Cycles
Volume	26
Numéro de publication	4
Les DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GB004249
état	Publié - 2 nov. 2012
Modification externe	Oui

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10.1029/2011GB004249

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Daniau, A. L., Bartlein, P. J., Harrison, S. P., Prentice, I. C., Brewer, S., Friedlingstein, P., Harrison-Prentice, T. I., Inoue, J., Izumi, K., Marlon, J. R., Mooney, S., Power, M. J., Stevenson, J., Tinner, W., Andrič, M., Atanassova, J., Behling, H., Black, M., Blarquez, O., ... Zhang, Y. (2012). Predictability of biomass burning in response to climate changes. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 26(4), Article GB4007. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GB004249

@article{81c31f1725874096a09e2d3c28034dff,

title = "Predictability of biomass burning in response to climate changes",

abstract = "Climate is an important control on biomass burning, but the sensitivity of fire to changes in temperature and moisture balance has not been quantified. We analyze sedimentary charcoal records to show that the changes in fire regime over the past 21,000 yrs are predictable from changes in regional climates. Analyses of paleo- fire data show that fire increases monotonically with changes in temperature and peaks at intermediate moisture levels, and that temperature is quantitatively the most important driver of changes in biomass burning over the past 21,000 yrs. Given that a similar relationship between climate drivers and fire emerges from analyses of the interannual variability in biomass burning shown by remote-sensing observations of month-by-month burnt area between 1996 and 2008, our results signal a serious cause for concern in the face of continuing global warming.",

author = "Daniau, \{A. L.\} and Bartlein, \{P. J.\} and Harrison, \{S. P.\} and Prentice, \{I. C.\} and S. Brewer and P. Friedlingstein and Harrison-Prentice, \{T. I.\} and J. Inoue and K. Izumi and Marlon, \{J. R.\} and S. Mooney and Power, \{M. J.\} and J. Stevenson and W. Tinner and M. Andri{\v c} and J. Atanassova and H. Behling and M. Black and O. Blarquez and Brown, \{K. J.\} and C. Carcaillet and Colhoun, \{E. A.\} and D. Colombaroli and Davis, \{B. A.S.\} and D. D'Costa and J. Dodson and L. Dupont and Z. Eshetu and Gavin, \{D. G.\} and A. Genries and S. Haberle and Hallett, \{D. J.\} and G. Hope and Horn, \{S. P.\} and Kassa, \{T. G.\} and F. Katamura and Kennedy, \{L. M.\} and P. Kershaw and S. Krivonogov and C. Long and D. Magri and E. Marinova and McKenzie, \{G. M.\} and Moreno, \{P. I.\} and P. Moss and Neumann, \{F. H.\} and E. Norstrm and C. Paitre and D. Rius and N. Roberts and Robinson, \{G. S.\} and N. Sasaki and L. Scott and H. Takahara and V. Terwilliger and F. Thevenon and R. Turner and Valsecchi, \{V. G.\} and B. Vanni{\`e}re and M. Walsh and N. Williams and Y. Zhang",

year = "2012",

month = nov,

day = "2",

doi = "10.1029/2011GB004249",

language = "English",

volume = "26",

journal = "Global Biogeochemical Cycles",

issn = "0886-6236",

number = "4",

}

Daniau, AL, Bartlein, PJ, Harrison, SP, Prentice, IC, Brewer, S, Friedlingstein, P, Harrison-Prentice, TI, Inoue, J, Izumi, K, Marlon, JR, Mooney, S, Power, MJ, Stevenson, J, Tinner, W, Andrič, M, Atanassova, J, Behling, H, Black, M, Blarquez, O, Brown, KJ, Carcaillet, C, Colhoun, EA, Colombaroli, D, Davis, BAS, D'Costa, D, Dodson, J, Dupont, L, Eshetu, Z, Gavin, DG, Genries, A, Haberle, S, Hallett, DJ, Hope, G, Horn, SP, Kassa, TG, Katamura, F, Kennedy, LM, Kershaw, P, Krivonogov, S, Long, C, Magri, D, Marinova, E, McKenzie, GM, Moreno, PI, Moss, P, Neumann, FH, Norstrm, E, Paitre, C, Rius, D, Roberts, N, Robinson, GS, Sasaki, N, Scott, L, Takahara, H, Terwilliger, V, Thevenon, F, Turner, R, Valsecchi, VG, Vannière, B, Walsh, M, Williams, N & Zhang, Y 2012, 'Predictability of biomass burning in response to climate changes', Global Biogeochemical Cycles, VOL. 26, Numéro 4, GB4007. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GB004249

TY - JOUR

T1 - Predictability of biomass burning in response to climate changes

AU - Daniau, A. L.

AU - Bartlein, P. J.

AU - Harrison, S. P.

AU - Prentice, I. C.

AU - Brewer, S.

AU - Friedlingstein, P.

AU - Harrison-Prentice, T. I.

AU - Inoue, J.

AU - Izumi, K.

AU - Marlon, J. R.

AU - Mooney, S.

AU - Power, M. J.

AU - Stevenson, J.

AU - Tinner, W.

AU - Andrič, M.

AU - Atanassova, J.

AU - Behling, H.

AU - Black, M.

AU - Blarquez, O.

AU - Brown, K. J.

AU - Carcaillet, C.

AU - Colhoun, E. A.

AU - Colombaroli, D.

AU - Davis, B. A.S.

AU - D'Costa, D.

AU - Dodson, J.

AU - Dupont, L.

AU - Eshetu, Z.

AU - Gavin, D. G.

AU - Genries, A.

AU - Haberle, S.

AU - Hallett, D. J.

AU - Hope, G.

AU - Horn, S. P.

AU - Kassa, T. G.

AU - Katamura, F.

AU - Kennedy, L. M.

AU - Kershaw, P.

AU - Krivonogov, S.

AU - Long, C.

AU - Magri, D.

AU - Marinova, E.

AU - McKenzie, G. M.

AU - Moreno, P. I.

AU - Moss, P.

AU - Neumann, F. H.

AU - Norstrm, E.

AU - Paitre, C.

AU - Rius, D.

AU - Roberts, N.

AU - Robinson, G. S.

AU - Sasaki, N.

AU - Scott, L.

AU - Takahara, H.

AU - Terwilliger, V.

AU - Thevenon, F.

AU - Turner, R.

AU - Valsecchi, V. G.

AU - Vannière, B.

AU - Walsh, M.

AU - Williams, N.

AU - Zhang, Y.

PY - 2012/11/2

Y1 - 2012/11/2

N2 - Climate is an important control on biomass burning, but the sensitivity of fire to changes in temperature and moisture balance has not been quantified. We analyze sedimentary charcoal records to show that the changes in fire regime over the past 21,000 yrs are predictable from changes in regional climates. Analyses of paleo- fire data show that fire increases monotonically with changes in temperature and peaks at intermediate moisture levels, and that temperature is quantitatively the most important driver of changes in biomass burning over the past 21,000 yrs. Given that a similar relationship between climate drivers and fire emerges from analyses of the interannual variability in biomass burning shown by remote-sensing observations of month-by-month burnt area between 1996 and 2008, our results signal a serious cause for concern in the face of continuing global warming.

AB - Climate is an important control on biomass burning, but the sensitivity of fire to changes in temperature and moisture balance has not been quantified. We analyze sedimentary charcoal records to show that the changes in fire regime over the past 21,000 yrs are predictable from changes in regional climates. Analyses of paleo- fire data show that fire increases monotonically with changes in temperature and peaks at intermediate moisture levels, and that temperature is quantitatively the most important driver of changes in biomass burning over the past 21,000 yrs. Given that a similar relationship between climate drivers and fire emerges from analyses of the interannual variability in biomass burning shown by remote-sensing observations of month-by-month burnt area between 1996 and 2008, our results signal a serious cause for concern in the face of continuing global warming.

UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/84868018440

U2 - 10.1029/2011GB004249

DO - 10.1029/2011GB004249

M3 - Article

AN - SCOPUS:84868018440

SN - 0886-6236

VL - 26

JO - Global Biogeochemical Cycles

JF - Global Biogeochemical Cycles

IS - 4

M1 - GB4007

ER -

Predictability of biomass burning in response to climate changes

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